In the coming week, domestic stock markets are set to concentrate on various factors, including corporate earnings, foreign portfolio investment (FPI) trends, and crucial economic indicators like Fiscal Year GDP Growth and the Index of Industrial Production (IIP).
Market experts also highlighted the importance of the outcome of US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan’s visit, scheduled for 5-6 January, to co-chair the review of the Initiative on Critical and Emerging Technology (iCET).The visit is expected to strengthen the strategic ties between the two nations by promoting innovation, encouraging investments, and advancing India’s technology and infrastructure sectors, according to analysts.
Q3 and GDP figures
Ajit Mishra, the senior vice president of research at Religare Broking Ltd., told news agency ANI, “Looking ahead to the second week of the year, several key events are likely to influence market sentiment. The earnings season begins with IT major TCS, a key trigger as any signs of improvement in Q3 numbers could reverse the ongoing trend of FII outflows. Additionally, a host of economic data, including HSBC Composite PMI, HSBC Services PMI, Fiscal Year GDP Growth, and IIP, will be closely monitored for further cues.”
Manish Goel, the founder and director of Equentis Wealth Advisory Services, noted the significance of upcoming GDP data and said that the release of the First Advance Estimates of Annual GDP for FY 2024-25 on January 7, 2025, is an important event to observe, “as it will provide important insights into the economic outlook and could have a notable impact on market sentiment and expectations ahead of the Union Budget.”
Markets begin 2025 on a positive note
The stock markets opened 2025 with modest gains, with benchmark indices rising nearly 1 per cent despite periods of volatility. Sentiment improved midweek, culminating in a strong performance on Thursday. By week’s end, the Nifty and Sensex closed at 24,004.7 and 79,223.11, respectively.
Sectoral performance was mixed, with the auto, FMCG, and energy sectors emerging as top gainers. In contrast, the realty and banking sectors ended in the red.
FPI trends
Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) started the year on a cautious note, recording a net equity outflow of Rs 4,285 crore in the first three trading sessions, according to the data by National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL). The largest single-day sell-off occurred on 1 January, with FPIs pulling out Rs 5,351 crore.
Despite the weak start, data from December showed net positive FPI investments in equities at Rs 15,446 crore. However, for 2024 as a whole, net FPI buying in equities was subdued at Rs 427 crore.
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